Dark Sky Odds

Meteor showers 2026–2027

Next up: the Leonids, peaking on 17 November 2026 with the Moon 55% lit. Below are all major meteor-shower peaks to the end of 2027, with the Moon and the odds of a clear peak night at 465 dark-sky places in Europe (ERA5, 2006–2025).

How it works ↓

Data updated: 31 December 2025 · Sources and licences

Calculated 5 November 2026 · cloud cover ERA5 2006–2025 · night lights NASA VIIRS 2025

ShowerPeak nightMoon litZHR
Leonids 202617 November 202655%15
Geminids 202614 December 202625%150
Quadrantids 20274 January 202712%80
Lyrids 202723 April 202795%18
Eta Aquariids 20276 May 20270%50
Perseids 202713 August 202786%100
Orionids 202722 October 202758%20
Leonids 202718 November 202780%15
Geminids 202714 December 202798%150

Of the meteor showers of 2026–2027, the ones worth travelling for are those where a high ZHR coincides with a dark Moon. There are two such peaks, both in winter.

ZHR and the Moon: which peaks to watch

The ZHR (meteors per hour under a perfect sky with the radiant at the zenith) is always higher than what you actually see. The best pair: the Geminids on 14 December 2026 (ZHR 150, Moon lit 25%) and the Quadrantids on 4 January 2027 (ZHR 80, Moon lit 12%). The Eta Aquariids on 6 May 2027 (ZHR 50) have no Moon at all, but the radiant sits low: even in Samaria National Park (Greece, clear-night chance 75% / 65%) it climbs no higher than 28°. The Perseids on 13 August 2027 (ZHR 100) are spoiled by a Moon that is 86% lit, the 2027 Geminids by one 98% lit; the 2027 Lyrids, Orionids and Leonids (ZHR 15–20, Moon lit 58–95%) are ones to catch in passing.

Where the peak night will be clear

The chance of a clear peak night (at least 2 hours with cloud cover of 20% or less while the Sun is below −12°, ERA5 2006–2025) for 465 places across Europe is given on each shower’s pages. It is higher in the south: Garajonay National Park gets 75% on the Quadrantid peak night and 72% on the 2026 Leonid peak night. This is climate, not a forecast (method).

How we calculate